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Patterns in public records, tested

Strategies

Explore the rules behind the ideas. Compare the evidence, open the details, and follow a strategy from signal to result.

Browse the strategies

Updated Oct 17

Strategies we test
23
plus 2 still gathering data
Solid evidence
None yet
beat similar stocks by more than luck
Firing now
18
of all 23, with an idea open today

A strategy’s big number is its edge over similar stocks in past tests; the smaller line is its average return over the stated hold (monthly strategies show an average month). Weekly Top 10 shows its total tracked return. Hypothetical results — not investment advice.

ThemeAll1
More filters · 1 changed
DirectionAll23Buy14Sell short8Buy + sell short1

Selling short uses borrowed shares to try to profit from a falling price.

No rule has passed the publication check yet — here is what it takes

All strategies

Showing 1 of 23 strategies · buys + short sales

Buy recent winners, sell short recent losersWinners Keep WinningDirection: Buy + sell short Needs a fresh testNot graded until re-testedIts own return+1.2%In an average month, past tests

Re-picked every month

Selling short uses borrowed shares to try to profit from a falling price.

These come from an older version of our test and are not graded until it is rerun.

Test sequence

  1. Pick the basket each month
  2. Hold 1 month
  3. Re-pick next month

In past tests · a basket re-picked every month

It returned
+1.2%
in an average month
Measured against
Nothing
it buys and sells short at once
Made money in
81 of 132
tries (61%)

Newest idea Apr 1 · Stock prices

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Hypothetical, not investment advice. Each position is opened at the next trading day’s close after the record became public and held for the stated time. Sell short ideas assume borrowed shares are sold, then bought back to close. Past results do not predict future results.